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Musk’s SpaceX and Tesla Lose Combined $1.5 Trillion in Market Value Ahead of Earnings

2026-07-29

The BareStory

Elon Musk's companies, SpaceX and Tesla, have lost a combined $1.5 trillion in market capitalization since mid-June. SpaceX shares have declined nearly 50 percent from their peak price of $225.64 in June, representing a loss of more than $1.2 trillion in market value. Meanwhile, Tesla shares fell to near one-year lows, dropping 18 percent since its earnings report last week. On Monday, SpaceX shares closed at $113.50, marking the stock's 13th decline over its last 16 trading sessions.

The ongoing volatility comes ahead of SpaceX’s first earnings report since its initial public offering, scheduled for next Tuesday. Two days later, on August 6, the company’s insider lock-up period is set to expire. This event will allow insiders to sell up to 20 percent of eligible locked-up stock early, potentially placing more than 900 million shares onto the trading market.

Options pricing indicates a potential 15 percent price swing for SpaceX stock following the earnings release. Market data from Tuesday showed general optimism among some traders, who purchased approximately 100,000 call options compared to 46,000 put options. However, market data also indicated a growing divide, with larger investors demonstrating more caution in their positioning.

Charles Moon, a technology and momentum specialist at Prosper Trading Academy, stated that Wall Street is currently penalizing artificial intelligence stocks for their capital expenditures. Regarding the upcoming lock-up expiration, Moon expressed belief that the event may not be as severe as some fear, though he noted it would not help the stock's situation.

Left Perspective

  • Demolishing Speculative Hype Engines
  • Shielding Vulnerable Retail Traders
  • Penalizing Unproductive Capital Extraction

Right Perspective

  • Calibrating Realistic Asset Valuations
  • Navigating Crucial Liquidity Events
  • Enforcing Productive Fiscal Discipline

How it may affect me

As a U.S. reader:

• If you are a retail investor holding SpaceX or Tesla shares, you face immediate financial risk and short-term volatility, with options pricing indicating a potential 15 percent price swing following SpaceX's upcoming earnings report.

• You could see a drop in SpaceX's stock price after August 6, when the insider lock-up period expires and allows up to 900 million shares to enter the trading market.

• Your investment portfolios may experience long-term effects as market forces correct speculative tech valuations to establish more realistic and stable asset pricing.

• You may see these companies adjust their strategies to focus on near-term fiscal discipline and operational efficiency rather than heavy spending on artificial intelligence, as Wall Street continues to penalize high capital expenditures.

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