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Investor Michael Burry Bets Against Caterpillar, Nvidia, and Tesla Citing AI Overvaluation

2026-07-01

The BareStory

Investor Michael Burry has taken short positions against several major industrial and technology companies, including Caterpillar, Nvidia, Applied Materials, Tesla, and the iShares Semiconductor ETF, according to his announcements on Tuesday. This represents the first time Burry, who is known for predicting the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis, has bet against Caterpillar, the construction-equipment manufacturer.

According to Burry, these bearish positions were established in anticipation of a market downturn, particularly among stocks linked to artificial intelligence. He shorted Caterpillar shares at $1,060.98, following an 86% surge in the stock during the first half of 2026. Burry stated that investors have driven Caterpillar's stock to record highs by treating the company as a proxy for the buildout of global AI infrastructure.

To support his claims of overvaluation, Burry pointed to Caterpillar's price-to-sales ratio, which he stated has climbed to its highest level in at least three decades. Additionally, he noted that the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is trading about 65% above its 200-day moving average, a gap he compared to the dot-com bubble in 2000. Burry characterized recent high-spending announcements from Korea as a temporary driver of the rally, calling it the beginning of the end of the market's upward trend.

Left Perspective

  • Shielding the Real Economy
  • Unmasking Elite Extraction
  • Bracing for Systemic Damage

Right Perspective

  • Enforcing Price Discovery
  • Calibrating Technical Benchmarks
  • Hedging Against Hype

How it may affect me

As a U.S. reader:

• You may experience financial losses in your personal investment portfolios or pension plans if a major market correction occurs among heavily shorted tech and industrial stocks.

• Your long-term financial security could be impacted if speculative market bubbles trigger a broader economic contraction that reduces productive, job-creating investments.

• You can utilize technical indicators and market warnings to hedge your own portfolios against potential volatility and unsustainable asset price drops.

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