The BareStory
Private-sector employment in the United States decreased by 32,000 jobs in November, according to a report released Wednesday by payroll processing firm ADP. The decline was unexpected, as economists had projected an increase of approximately 40,000 jobs. The loss represents a downturn from job gains reported in previous months, with one report noting it was the largest monthly drop since March 2023.
The job losses were driven by small businesses with fewer than 50 employees, which cut a total of 120,000 positions. In contrast, the report indicated that companies with 50 or more employees added a net 90,000 workers. The professional and business services industry saw the largest decline, shedding 26,000 jobs. Other sectors reporting losses included manufacturing and construction, while leisure and hospitality and education and health services were among those that added jobs.
According to ADP’s chief economist, Nela Richardson, inconsistent hiring reflects employer responses to cautious consumers and an uncertain macroeconomic environment. The report also showed a slowdown in the rate of wage growth, indicating that workers who stayed in their jobs received a 4.4% year-over-year pay increase, a slight decrease from October's rate.
This report is the final major jobs data that Federal Reserve policymakers will see before their meeting on December 9-10. The data's release increased expectations of an interest rate cut, with futures traders indicating a high probability of such a move. However, opinions among Fed officials are reportedly divided, with some concerned about the labor market and others about inflation remaining above the central bank’s target. The official government jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics has been delayed until December 16 due to a recent government shutdown.
How it may affect me
As a U.S. reader:
• The cost of borrowing for mortgages or car loans may decrease, as this report increased expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates.
• Job seekers may find fewer opportunities at small businesses. Conversely, larger companies and sectors like leisure and hospitality continue to add jobs.
• Workers might see smaller pay raises compared to recent months, as the report shows the rate of year-over-year wage growth is slowing.