• The policy is likely to succeed on its legal merits. The Supreme Court's majority, in an unsigned opinion, stated that the administration was “likely to succeed” in the case. The opinion asserted that requiring passports to display the holder's sex assigned at birth is not a violation of equal protection.
• The rule is linked to presidential authority in foreign policy. The administration’s solicitor general argued in court filings that a lower court’s decision to block the rule interfered with presidential foreign policy powers. The Supreme Court's majority opinion also cited “foreign affairs implications” in its reasoning for allowing the policy to be enforced.
• Displaying sex assigned at birth is comparable to a historical fact. According to the court’s majority opinion, the requirement to list the sex assigned at birth on a passport is comparable to recording a historical fact. This framing presents the policy as a neutral standard for official documentation.
How it may affect me
As a U.S. reader:
• U.S. passport applications now require the holder's sex assigned at birth, removing the options for self-attestation or an "X" gender marker.
• Transgender travelers may face increased scrutiny or potential harm, as their passports will list their sex at birth, which might not match their identity.
• The policy is in effect now, but its long-term status is uncertain as legal challenges are still proceeding in lower courts.
